{"access":{"level":"sample","reason":"no_key","note":"Last 12 observations of each redistributable series and a preview of the dossier (chain with statuses, 5 constants, statements of conjectures and trajectories). Full data needs a member key, issued with the plan: https://shockatlas.com/premium#plan"},"signal":{"schema_version":1,"slug":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","title":"Typhoon Dujuan, Yokohama rainfall and port calls, September 2026","date":"2026-09-21","mechanism":"STORM","geography":[{"code":"JP","name":"Japan","latitude":null,"longitude":null},{"code":"JP-14","name":"Yokohama, Kanagawa (JMA Yokohama station, Port of Yokohama)","latitude":35.438,"longitude":139.652},{"code":"JP-12","name":"Chiba Prefecture","latitude":35.605,"longitude":140.123}],"source_url":"https://watchers.news/2026/09/24/typhoon-dujuan-leaves-12-dead-and-3-missing-record-rain-floods-and-landslides-hit-japan/","summary":"The Japan Meteorological Agency station at Yokohama recorded 117.0 mm of rain on 20 September 2026 and 223.0 mm on 21 September, with a peak gust of 21.1 m/s, the highest daily values of July–October. IMF PortWatch counted 3 port calls at Yokohama on 20 September and 9 on 21 September, against an average of 36 per day over 1–18 September, followed by 61 calls on 24 September and 115,333 tons of container exports on 22 September, the highest day since July.","status":"PUBLISHED"},"series":[{"access":"withheld","sample":false,"sample_size":null,"observations_total":null,"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","key":"yokohama-export-container-tons","family":"FLOW","variable":"Estimated export volume loaded on container ships at Yokohama (IMF PortWatch port1417), UTC day","unit":"metric tons per day","geography":"JP-14","publisher":"imf-portwatch","source_url":"https://services9.arcgis.com/weJ1QsnbMYJlCHdG/arcgis/rest/services/Daily_Ports_Data/FeatureServer/0/query?where=portname%3D%27Yokohama%27%20AND%20date%20%3E%3D%20DATE%20%272026-07-01%27&outFields=date,portcalls,portcalls_container,import_container,export_container&orderByFields=date%20ASC&f=json","source_sha256":"c50221d225efea30cf46b2f741b952f5f3a2dbed1525989b71996e4d1b31907d","collected_at":"2026-10-23T23:12:00+00:00","period_grain":"day","derived":null,"rights":"RESTRICTED","observations_withheld":true,"observations":[]},{"access":"sample","sample":true,"sample_size":12,"observations_total":115,"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","key":"yokohama-gust-ms","family":"PHYSICAL","variable":"Daily maximum instantaneous wind speed at JMA Yokohama station (block 47670)","unit":"m/s","geography":"JP-14","publisher":"jma","source_url":"https://www.data.jma.go.jp/stats/etrn/view/daily_s1.php?prec_no=46&block_no=47670&year=2026&month=9&day=&view=","source_sha256":"d40bf7cdcbf9efa002d057410b83be901af77c575a8739bdb5d7eee5e0402773","collected_at":"2026-10-23T23:12:00+00:00","period_grain":"day","derived":null,"rights":"OPEN_ATTRIBUTION","observations_withheld":false,"observations":[{"period":"2026-10-12","value":11},{"period":"2026-10-13","value":9.1},{"period":"2026-10-14","value":14.6},{"period":"2026-10-15","value":13.2},{"period":"2026-10-16","value":8.9},{"period":"2026-10-17","value":10.3},{"period":"2026-10-18","value":8.9},{"period":"2026-10-19","value":14.8},{"period":"2026-10-20","value":14.4},{"period":"2026-10-21","value":20},{"period":"2026-10-22","value":14.3},{"period":"2026-10-23","value":9.1}]},{"access":"sample","sample":true,"sample_size":8,"observations_total":8,"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","key":"yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy","family":"ECONOMIC","variable":"Export value of HS chapter 87 (vehicles other than railway, and parts) cleared at Yokohama customs office (code 200), sum of 9-digit lines, monthly","unit":"thousand JPY","geography":"JP-14","publisher":"mof-japan-customs","source_url":"https://www.customs.go.jp/toukei/srch/indexe.htm?M=33&P=0","source_sha256":"089b8365a37e2189f2f7a2f35b38d0f0d2c17b6769d5d94a9c271b76cdce4a63","collected_at":"2026-10-23T23:12:00+00:00","period_grain":"month","derived":null,"rights":"OPEN_ATTRIBUTION","observations_withheld":false,"observations":[{"period":"2026-01","value":157203741},{"period":"2026-02","value":201098749},{"period":"2026-03","value":217252879},{"period":"2026-04","value":195586456},{"period":"2026-05","value":171437740},{"period":"2026-06","value":223483023},{"period":"2026-07","value":215703179},{"period":"2026-08","value":220784602}]},{"access":"withheld","sample":false,"sample_size":null,"observations_total":null,"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","key":"yokohama-portcalls","family":"FLOW","variable":"Port calls at Yokohama (IMF PortWatch port1417), all ship types, satellite AIS estimate, UTC day","unit":"vessels per day","geography":"JP-14","publisher":"imf-portwatch","source_url":"https://services9.arcgis.com/weJ1QsnbMYJlCHdG/arcgis/rest/services/Daily_Ports_Data/FeatureServer/0/query?where=portname%3D%27Yokohama%27%20AND%20date%20%3E%3D%20DATE%20%272026-07-01%27&outFields=date,portcalls,portcalls_container,import_container,export_container&orderByFields=date%20ASC&f=json","source_sha256":"c50221d225efea30cf46b2f741b952f5f3a2dbed1525989b71996e4d1b31907d","collected_at":"2026-10-23T23:12:00+00:00","period_grain":"day","derived":null,"rights":"RESTRICTED","observations_withheld":true,"observations":[]},{"access":"sample","sample":true,"sample_size":12,"observations_total":115,"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","key":"yokohama-precip-mm","family":"PHYSICAL","variable":"Daily precipitation total at JMA Yokohama station (block 47670), local day","unit":"mm","geography":"JP-14","publisher":"jma","source_url":"https://www.data.jma.go.jp/stats/etrn/view/daily_s1.php?prec_no=46&block_no=47670&year=2026&month=9&day=&view=","source_sha256":"d40bf7cdcbf9efa002d057410b83be901af77c575a8739bdb5d7eee5e0402773","collected_at":"2026-10-23T23:12:00+00:00","period_grain":"day","derived":null,"rights":"OPEN_ATTRIBUTION","observations_withheld":false,"observations":[{"period":"2026-10-12","value":0},{"period":"2026-10-13","value":0},{"period":"2026-10-14","value":1.5},{"period":"2026-10-15","value":0},{"period":"2026-10-16","value":0},{"period":"2026-10-17","value":0},{"period":"2026-10-18","value":0},{"period":"2026-10-19","value":0},{"period":"2026-10-20","value":0},{"period":"2026-10-21","value":0},{"period":"2026-10-22","value":0},{"period":"2026-10-23","value":0}]}],"edition":{"title":"Typhoon Dujuan shut Yokohama for 45 hours, the backlog sailed within four days, and the September customs flash still rose.","lead":"The JMA station at Yokohama recorded 223 mm of rain on 21 September 2026, and IMF PortWatch port calls fell from about 36 a day to 3 and 9 before reaching 61 on 24 September. September container export tonnage ended above August's, and the customs flash put the port's automobile export value up 9.1 percent on a year earlier: the storm moved cargo by a few days rather than losing it.","published_at":"2026-10-24","vectors":["yokohama-precip-mm","yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"],"figures":[{"id":"F1","series":"yokohama-precip-mm","stat":"value","period":"2026-09-20","value":117},{"id":"F2","series":"yokohama-precip-mm","stat":"max","period":null,"value":223},{"id":"F3","series":"yokohama-gust-ms","stat":"max","period":null,"value":21.1},{"id":"F4","series":"yokohama-portcalls","stat":"value","period":"2026-09-19","value":10},{"id":"F5","series":"yokohama-portcalls","stat":"min","period":null,"value":3},{"id":"F6","series":"yokohama-portcalls","stat":"value","period":"2026-09-21","value":9},{"id":"F7","series":"yokohama-portcalls","stat":"value","period":"2026-09-22","value":37},{"id":"F8","series":"yokohama-portcalls","stat":"value","period":"2026-09-23","value":49},{"id":"F9","series":"yokohama-portcalls","stat":"max","period":null,"value":61},{"id":"F10","series":"yokohama-portcalls","stat":"sum","period":null,"value":3919},{"id":"F11","series":"yokohama-export-container-tons","stat":"value","period":"2026-09-20","value":0},{"id":"F12","series":"yokohama-export-container-tons","stat":"value","period":"2026-09-21","value":14573},{"id":"F13","series":"yokohama-export-container-tons","stat":"max","period":null,"value":115333},{"id":"F14","series":"yokohama-export-container-tons","stat":"sum","period":null,"value":4082210},{"id":"F15","series":"yokohama-export-container-tons","stat":"value","period":"2026-09-23","value":56279},{"id":"F16","series":"yokohama-export-container-tons","stat":"value","period":"2026-09-24","value":62163},{"id":"F17","series":"yokohama-export-container-tons","stat":"value","period":"2026-09-25","value":65256},{"id":"F18","series":"yokohama-export-container-tons","stat":"value","period":"2026-09-19","value":10678},{"id":"F19","series":"yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy","stat":"sum","period":null,"value":1602550369},{"id":"F20","series":"yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy","stat":"min","period":null,"value":157203741},{"id":"F21","series":"yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy","stat":"max","period":null,"value":223483023},{"id":"F22","series":"yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy","stat":"last","period":null,"value":220784602},{"id":"F23","series":"yokohama-portcalls","stat":"value","period":"2026-08-11","value":23},{"id":"F24","series":"yokohama-portcalls","stat":"value","period":"2026-07-20","value":44},{"id":"F27","series":"yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy","stat":"value","period":"2026-04","value":195586456},{"id":"F28","series":"yokohama-precip-mm","stat":"value","period":"2026-09-06","value":116.5},{"id":"F29","series":"yokohama-portcalls","stat":"value","period":"2026-09-06","value":27},{"id":"F30","series":"yokohama-portcalls","stat":"value","period":"2026-09-25","value":35}],"watch":[{"indicator":"IMF PortWatch daily port calls and container exports, Yokohama (port1417)","source_url":"https://portwatch.imf.org/"},{"indicator":"Yokohama Customs monthly flash for the Port of Yokohama, automobile units and value, October 2026 edition (about 19 November 2026)","source_url":"https://www.customs.go.jp/yokohama/toukei/sokuho/gaikyo.htm"},{"indicator":"HS 87 exports by customs office, September 2026, MoF Trade Statistics (detailed export release about 30 October 2026)","source_url":"https://www.customs.go.jp/toukei/srch/indexe.htm?M=33&P=0"}]},"hypotheses":[{"id":"november-day-below-fifteen-calls","signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","statement":"If no typhoon reaches Tokyo Bay between 1 and 30 November 2026, no UTC day at Yokohama other than the holidays of 3 and 23 November prints fewer than 15 port calls, and the two holidays, tested apart, also stay at or above 15; a day below 15 without a storm would mean low days of September's size need no closure to occur.","mechanism":"STORM","confidence":"MEDIUM","indicators":[{"name":"Port calls at Yokohama, UTC days of November 2026 other than 3 and 23 November (IMF PortWatch)","source_url":"https://portwatch.imf.org/","series_key":"yokohama-portcalls","threshold":{"op":"<","value":15}},{"name":"Port calls at Yokohama on the holidays of 3 and 23 November 2026, tested apart (IMF PortWatch)","source_url":"https://portwatch.imf.org/","series_key":"yokohama-portcalls","threshold":{"op":">=","value":15}},{"name":"Typhoon reaching Tokyo Bay in November 2026 (JMA typhoon information)","source_url":"https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon","series_key":null,"threshold":null}],"horizon_date":"2026-12-10","status":"OPEN","outcome":null},{"id":"november-container-tonnage-holds","signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","statement":"Yokohama's November 2026 container export tonnage reaches at least 90 percent of October 2026's, even if November has a UTC day below 15 port calls: a closure of two days shifts tonnage within the month, as September's 1,127,052 t against August's 1,122,720 t showed. A lower ratio after such a day would mean a closure loses cargo rather than delaying it.","mechanism":"STORM","confidence":"MEDIUM","indicators":[{"name":"Container export tonnage at Yokohama, November 2026 monthly sum divided by October 2026 monthly sum, at least 0.90 (IMF PortWatch)","source_url":"https://portwatch.imf.org/","series_key":"yokohama-export-container-tons","threshold":null},{"name":"Port calls at Yokohama, any UTC day of November 2026 below 15 (IMF PortWatch)","source_url":"https://portwatch.imf.org/","series_key":"yokohama-portcalls","threshold":{"op":"<","value":15}}],"horizon_date":"2026-12-15","status":"OPEN","outcome":null},{"id":"september-hs87-within-band","signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","statement":"If September 2026 scales like the eight earlier months of 2026, HS 87 exports cleared at Yokohama customs in September land between 200 and 225 billion yen when the by-customs table is released, around the 208.0 to 221.2 billion implied by the 173.1 billion yen flash value; a value below 200 billion would point to the parts and motorcycle lines, not to the closure, which a monthly value cannot resolve.","mechanism":"STORM","confidence":"MEDIUM","indicators":[{"name":"HS 87 export value at Yokohama customs, September 2026, lower bound in thousand yen (MoF Trade Statistics)","source_url":"https://www.customs.go.jp/toukei/srch/indexe.htm?M=33&P=0","series_key":"yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy","threshold":{"op":">=","value":200000000}},{"name":"HS 87 export value at Yokohama customs, September 2026, upper bound in thousand yen (MoF Trade Statistics)","source_url":"https://www.customs.go.jp/toukei/srch/indexe.htm?M=33&P=0","series_key":"yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy","threshold":{"op":"<=","value":225000000}}],"horizon_date":"2026-11-15","status":"OPEN","outcome":null}],"organisations":[{"slug":"city-of-yokohama-port-and-harbor-bureau","name":"City of Yokohama, Port and Harbor Bureau","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 488310 Port and harbor operations","website":"https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/lang/overseas/port/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/lang/overseas/port/network/portal.files/0016_20260616.pdf","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"The Port and Harbor Bureau is an internal department of the City of Yokohama that serves as the port management body of the Port of Yokohama. It is responsible for formulating the overall port plan and for the management, operation, development, and maintenance of the port."},"reasoning":"The bureau is the port management body of the port that closed for about 45 hours; port calls fell to 3 and 9 on 20-21 September. Lost port dues and any damage repair cost are inferred, not shown; its own closure notice for Dujuan was not found.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-precip-mm","yokohama-gust-ms"]}]},{"slug":"yokohama-kawasaki-international-port-corporation","name":"Yokohama-Kawasaki International Port Corporation (YKIP)","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 488310 Port and harbor operations","website":"https://ykip-eng.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/company/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"Yokohama Kawasaki International Port Corporation (YKIP) founded in January 2016, as the port managing and operating company of Keihin Port under the Strategic International Container Port Policy of the national government."},"reasoning":"YKIP leases the Honmoku, Minami-Honmoku and Daikoku container terminals to the operators listed in its facility table, so the container-call collapse on 20-21 September and the rebound to 61 calls on 24 September fall on its terminals. Effects on its lease income are inferred, not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"yokohama-port-corporation","name":"Yokohama Port Corporation (YPC)","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 488310 Port and harbor operations","website":"https://yokohamaport.co.jp/en/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://yokohamaport.co.jp/en/poy/ec/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"Automobile-related products account for approximately 50% of the export cargo handled at the Port of Yokohama.Daikoku Pier has improved its quays and yards and converted its container terminals into automobile terminals."},"reasoning":"YPC manages the Daikoku automobile berths and liner terminals that carry Yokohama's main export, vehicles (HS 87 exports at Yokohama customs were 157-223 billion yen a month in 2026). The quote shows its role on the car chain; the effect of the closure on Daikoku car loadings is not shown, and the September customs figure is not yet published.","series_keys":["yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy","yokohama-portcalls"]}]},{"slug":"yokohama-port-megaterminal","name":"Yokohama Port Megaterminal Co., Ltd.","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 488320 Marine cargo handling","website":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"BC Yokohama Port Megaterminal Co., Ltd. 1,470 456,000 13～16 10 ASL, CCL, CK Lines, COSCO, Dongjin, FESCO, HASCO, Heung-A, Interasia, Nam Sung, OOCL, Panstar, Sinokor, SMC, Tai Young, TCLC, TS Lines, Wan Hai"},"reasoning":"The company is the lessee of the Honmoku BC terminal, the largest in the table with 10 gantry cranes and some eighteen carriers. Kuehne+Nagel's 90% yard density after the 45-hour closure applies to the port as a whole; the share at BC is not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"a-p-moller-maersk","name":"A.P. Moller - Maersk A/S","country":"DK","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://www.maersk.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"MC-3 A.P.Moller Maersk A.S. 400 225,000 18 4"},"reasoning":"Maersk is the lessee of Minami-Honmoku MC-3 and MC-4, the 18 m berths for the largest ships, and co-lessee of MC-1 and MC-2, where it also calls as a carrier. The closure therefore hit it both as terminal tenant and as line; Kuehne+Nagel cites Maersk among its data sources, but Maersk's own Yokohama advisory was not found.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"cma-cgm","name":"CMA CGM S.A.","country":"FR","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://www.cma-cgm.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"D-4 CMA CGM JAPAN KK 400 187,000 16 3 CMA-CGM, ANL, APL, CNC"},"reasoning":"CMA CGM, through CMA CGM Japan KK, leases Honmoku D-4, served by CMA CGM, ANL, APL and CNC. Kuehne+Nagel reports the port closed for about 45 hours with yard density near 90%; PortWatch shows 3 and 9 calls on 20-21 September and zero container exports on 20 September. Its berth-window losses are inferred, not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"nissin-corporation","name":"Nissin Corporation","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 488510 Freight transportation arrangement","website":"https://www.nissin-tw.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://yokohamaport.co.jp/en/poy/facilities/daikoku/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"C-1 Nissin Corporation 300 105,000 12 40"},"reasoning":"Nissin leases Daikoku C-1 (multipurpose, car carriers) and C-2, two liner terminals, and is co-lessee of Minami-Honmoku MC-1 per the YKIP table. Delayed cargo handling during the 45-hour closure falls on these berths; the volume it handled in those days is not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy"]}]},{"slug":"mitsui-soko-holdings","name":"Mitsui-Soko Holdings Co., Ltd.","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 493110 General warehousing and storage","website":"https://www.mitsui-soko.com/en/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"T-9 Mitsui-Soko Co., Ltd. 240 84,400 12 2 JJSCO, Zuiyo"},"reasoning":"Mitsui-Soko leases the Daikoku T-9 container terminal (and the L-6 liner terminal per YPC). It is a small terminal with two cranes; the closure's effect on its throughput is inferred from the port-wide PortWatch series, not shown for T-9.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"nippon-express","name":"Nippon Express Co., Ltd. (NX Group)","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 488510 Freight transportation arrangement","website":"https://www.nipponexpress.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"SUPPLY_CHAIN","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://yokohamaport.co.jp/en/poy/facilities/daikoku/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"L-8 Nippon Express Co., Ltd.Kusuhara Transportation Co., Ltd.Keihin Koun Co., Ltd. 200 18,000 10 20"},"reasoning":"Nippon Express co-leases Daikoku liner terminal L-8 and, as a forwarder, books export cargo through the port. The quote shows the berth; the shipments it rebooked or held during the closure are not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"mitsubishi-logistics","name":"Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 493110 General warehousing and storage","website":"https://www.mitsubishi-logistics.co.jp/english/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://yokohamaport.co.jp/en/poy/facilities/daikoku/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"L-3 Mitsubishi Logistics CorporationSankyo Co., Ltd. 200 18,000 10 20"},"reasoning":"Mitsubishi Logistics co-leases Daikoku liner terminal L-3. Conventional and liner cargo at Daikoku stopped with the rest of the port; its handled volume and any storage income from the backlog are not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls"]}]},{"slug":"kamigumi","name":"Kamigumi Co., Ltd.","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 488320 Marine cargo handling","website":"https://www.kamigumi.co.jp/en/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://yokohamaport.co.jp/en/poy/facilities/daikoku/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"L-4 Sankyu Inc.Kamigumi Co., Ltd. 200 18,000 10 20"},"reasoning":"Kamigumi co-leases Daikoku liner terminal L-4 with Sankyu. As a stevedore it loses handling hours in a closure and may then work overtime on the backlog; neither is shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls"]}]},{"slug":"ocean-network-express","name":"Ocean Network Express Pte. Ltd. (ONE)","country":"SG","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://www.one-line.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"MC-1 A.P.Moller Maersk A.S. Nisshin Corporation 350 175,000 16 3 Hapag Lloyd, Maersk, ONE, SITC, Sinotrans, Ningbo Ocean, MSC, Evergreen, Pan Ocean, Ji Zhou, HMM"},"reasoning":"The YKIP facility table lists ONE among the vessel operators at Minami-Honmoku MC-1, so the quote places it on the Yokohama call list. Kuehne+Nagel reports the port closed for about 45 hours with yard density near 90%; PortWatch shows 3 and 9 calls on 20-21 September and zero container exports on 20 September. Its own schedule losses, omissions or extra costs during the closure are not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"hapag-lloyd","name":"Hapag-Lloyd AG","country":"DE","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"MC-1 A.P.Moller Maersk A.S. Nisshin Corporation 350 175,000 16 3 Hapag Lloyd, Maersk, ONE, SITC, Sinotrans, Ningbo Ocean, MSC, Evergreen, Pan Ocean, Ji Zhou, HMM"},"reasoning":"The YKIP facility table lists Hapag-Lloyd among the vessel operators at Minami-Honmoku MC-1, so the quote places it on the Yokohama call list. Kuehne+Nagel reports the port closed for about 45 hours with yard density near 90%; PortWatch shows 3 and 9 calls on 20-21 September and zero container exports on 20 September. Its own schedule losses, omissions or extra costs during the closure are not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"mediterranean-shipping-company","name":"Mediterranean Shipping Company S.A. (MSC)","country":"CH","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://www.msc.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"D-1 Yokohama Port Megaterminal Co., Ltd. 482.5 145,000 13～14 3 CK Lines, Dongjin, Hede, KMTC, MSC, Tai Young, TS Lines, Yang Ming"},"reasoning":"The YKIP facility table lists MSC among the vessel operators at Honmoku D-1 and Minami-Honmoku MC-1, so the quote places it on the Yokohama call list. Kuehne+Nagel reports the port closed for about 45 hours with yard density near 90%; PortWatch shows 3 and 9 calls on 20-21 September and zero container exports on 20 September. Its own schedule losses, omissions or extra costs during the closure are not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"evergreen-marine","name":"Evergreen Marine Corporation","country":"TW","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://www.evergreen-marine.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"MC-1 A.P.Moller Maersk A.S. Nisshin Corporation 350 175,000 16 3 Hapag Lloyd, Maersk, ONE, SITC, Sinotrans, Ningbo Ocean, MSC, Evergreen, Pan Ocean, Ji Zhou, HMM"},"reasoning":"The YKIP facility table lists Evergreen among the vessel operators at Minami-Honmoku MC-1, so the quote places it on the Yokohama call list. Kuehne+Nagel reports the port closed for about 45 hours with yard density near 90%; PortWatch shows 3 and 9 calls on 20-21 September and zero container exports on 20 September. Its own schedule losses, omissions or extra costs during the closure are not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"hmm","name":"HMM Co., Ltd.","country":"KR","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://www.hmm21.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"MC-1 A.P.Moller Maersk A.S. Nisshin Corporation 350 175,000 16 3 Hapag Lloyd, Maersk, ONE, SITC, Sinotrans, Ningbo Ocean, MSC, Evergreen, Pan Ocean, Ji Zhou, HMM"},"reasoning":"The YKIP facility table lists HMM among the vessel operators at Minami-Honmoku MC-1, so the quote places it on the Yokohama call list. Kuehne+Nagel reports the port closed for about 45 hours with yard density near 90%; PortWatch shows 3 and 9 calls on 20-21 September and zero container exports on 20 September. Its own schedule losses, omissions or extra costs during the closure are not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"oocl","name":"Orient Overseas Container Line Limited (OOCL)","country":"HK","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://www.oocl.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"BC Yokohama Port Megaterminal Co., Ltd. 1,470 456,000 13～16 10 ASL, CCL, CK Lines, COSCO, Dongjin, FESCO, HASCO, Heung-A, Interasia, Nam Sung, OOCL, Panstar, Sinokor, SMC, Tai Young, TCLC, TS Lines, Wan Hai"},"reasoning":"The YKIP facility table lists OOCL among the vessel operators at Honmoku BC (and Kawasaki KC-1), so the quote places it on the Yokohama call list. Kuehne+Nagel reports the port closed for about 45 hours with yard density near 90%; PortWatch shows 3 and 9 calls on 20-21 September and zero container exports on 20 September. Its own schedule losses, omissions or extra costs during the closure are not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"cosco-shipping-lines","name":"COSCO SHIPPING Lines Co., Ltd.","country":"CN","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://lines.coscoshipping.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"BC Yokohama Port Megaterminal Co., Ltd. 1,470 456,000 13～16 10 ASL, CCL, CK Lines, COSCO, Dongjin, FESCO, HASCO, Heung-A, Interasia, Nam Sung, OOCL, Panstar, Sinokor, SMC, Tai Young, TCLC, TS Lines, Wan Hai"},"reasoning":"The YKIP facility table lists COSCO among the vessel operators at Honmoku BC, so the quote places it on the Yokohama call list. Kuehne+Nagel reports the port closed for about 45 hours with yard density near 90%; PortWatch shows 3 and 9 calls on 20-21 September and zero container exports on 20 September. Its own schedule losses, omissions or extra costs during the closure are not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"wan-hai-lines","name":"Wan Hai Lines Ltd.","country":"TW","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://www.wanhai.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"BC Yokohama Port Megaterminal Co., Ltd. 1,470 456,000 13～16 10 ASL, CCL, CK Lines, COSCO, Dongjin, FESCO, HASCO, Heung-A, Interasia, Nam Sung, OOCL, Panstar, Sinokor, SMC, Tai Young, TCLC, TS Lines, Wan Hai"},"reasoning":"The YKIP facility table lists Wan Hai among the vessel operators at Honmoku BC, so the quote places it on the Yokohama call list. Kuehne+Nagel reports the port closed for about 45 hours with yard density near 90%; PortWatch shows 3 and 9 calls on 20-21 September and zero container exports on 20 September. Its own schedule losses, omissions or extra costs during the closure are not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"yang-ming","name":"Yang Ming Marine Transport Corporation","country":"TW","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://www.yangming.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"D-1 Yokohama Port Megaterminal Co., Ltd. 482.5 145,000 13～14 3 CK Lines, Dongjin, Hede, KMTC, MSC, Tai Young, TS Lines, Yang Ming"},"reasoning":"The YKIP facility table lists Yang Ming among the vessel operators at Honmoku D-1, so the quote places it on the Yokohama call list. Kuehne+Nagel reports the port closed for about 45 hours with yard density near 90%; PortWatch shows 3 and 9 calls on 20-21 September and zero container exports on 20 September. Its own schedule losses, omissions or extra costs during the closure are not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"nyk-line","name":"Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha (NYK Line)","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://www.nyk.com/english/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://www.shippax.com/en/press-releases/yokohama-daikoku-c-3-terminal-welcomes-first-pctc.aspx","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"The Yokohama Daikoku C-3 Terminal is a finished-car logistics terminal that NYK leases from the Yokohama Kawasaki International Port Corporation and operates at Yokohama port, one of the ports that handle the largest number of finished-cars in Japan."},"reasoning":"NYK operates a finished-car terminal at Daikoku and runs car carriers, so a 45-hour closure delays both its yard turnover and its PCTC calls. The 2020 release shows the terminal; its car volumes in September 2026 are not shown, and the September HS 87 customs figure is not yet published.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy"]}]},{"slug":"kawasaki-kisen-kaisha","name":"Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd. (\"K\" LINE)","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://www.kline.co.jp/en/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/k-line-group-open-its-first-finished-vehicle-terminal-operation-in-japan/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"“K” LINE Group leases the terminal from Yokohama Port Terminal Corporation (YPC) and operates it at Yokohama port, which handles one of the largest volumes of finished vehicles in Japan."},"reasoning":"K Line, with Daito Corporation, operates Daikoku C-4 for finished vehicles and is co-lessee of Minami-Honmoku MC-2. The 2022 announcement shows its position; how many car-carrier calls slipped during the closure is not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy"]}]},{"slug":"mitsui-osk-lines","name":"Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd. (MOL)","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://www.mol.co.jp/en/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://ykip-eng.com/service/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"MC-2 A.P.Moller Maersk A.S., Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd., Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd. 350 229,000 16 2"},"reasoning":"MOL is co-lessee of the Minami-Honmoku MC-2 container terminal. Its car-carrier calls at Daikoku are likely but not shown on any page read here, so its exposure on the vehicle side is inferred.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"zim-integrated-shipping","name":"ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.","country":"IL","sector":"NAICS 483111 Deep sea freight transportation","website":"https://www.zim.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/city-info/koho-kocho/press/kowan/2022/20220502.html","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"ZIM INTEGRATED SHIPPING SERVICES LTD.が、このたび、大黒ふ頭を拠点に、中南米向けの自動車運搬船サービス航路を新たに開設することとなりました。"},"reasoning":"The City of Yokohama announced in May 2022 that ZIM opened a car-carrier service to Central and South America based at Daikoku Pier. Mexico takes 7.6% of Yokohama's exports; whether the service still runs in 2026 is not verified.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy"]}]},{"slug":"kuehne-nagel","name":"Kuehne + Nagel International AG","country":"CH","sector":"NAICS 488510 Freight transportation arrangement","website":"https://www.kuehne-nagel.com/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"SUPPLY_CHAIN","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://mykn.kuehne-nagel.com/news/article/port-operational-updates-from-23-09-2026","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"Yokohama is recovering from Typhoon Dujuan-related disruptions and consecutive public holidays. The port was closed for 45 hours, resulting in yard density rising to around 90% and vessel waiting times reaching 1.5 to 2 days."},"reasoning":"Kuehne+Nagel documents the closure in its weekly port update to its forwarding customers, whose Yokohama bookings waited 1.5 to 2 days. The quote evidences the disruption; the number of its own shipments affected is not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons","yokohama-precip-mm"]}]},{"slug":"nissan-motor","name":"Nissan Motor Co., Ltd.","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 336110 Automobile and light duty motor vehicle manufacturing","website":"https://www.nissan-global.com/EN/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"SUPPLY_CHAIN","status":"EVIDENCED","evidence":{"url":"https://www.nissan-global.com/EN/COMPANY/PROFILE/ESTABLISHMENT/","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"Major Operations / Products Vehicles and parts shipment for overseas markets, packaging and shipping of KD units, import of parts"},"reasoning":"Nissan's establishment list gives these operations for its Honmoku Wharf in Naka-ku, Yokohama, its own export wharf in the port that closed. Vehicles and knock-down parts waiting to ship would have been held for the closure; the vehicles delayed are not shown, and the September HS 87 figure is not yet published.","series_keys":["yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy","yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"mitsubishi-fuso-truck-and-bus","name":"Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 336120 Heavy duty truck manufacturing","website":"https://www.mitsubishi-fuso.com/en/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"SUPPLY_CHAIN","status":"DEDUCED","evidence":{"url":"https://truckandbusbuilder.com/article/2025/06/21/fuso-relocates-kd-parts-warehouse-to-port-city-of-yokohama","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"The new Shin-Koyasu Global Logistics Center, occupying a five-story building with a total floor area of approximately 120,000 sq m, is located a short distance from MFTBC’s main shipping port."},"reasoning":"Fuso moved its knock-down export parts warehouse to Shin-Koyasu in Yokohama, close to its main shipping port, which the article does not name. That the port is Yokohama, and that the closure delayed Fuso truck and KD exports, is inferred.","series_keys":["yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"isuzu-motors","name":"Isuzu Motors Limited","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 336120 Heavy duty truck manufacturing","website":"https://www.isuzu.co.jp/world/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"SUPPLY_CHAIN","status":"DEDUCED","evidence":{"url":"https://www.city.fujisawa.kanagawa.jp/documents/34053/20250425_01_02.pdf","date":"2025-04-25","quote":"いすゞ自動車藤沢工場 1962年に操業開始。敷地面積約101万平米、従業員数約8,000名のマザー工場です。 小型 中型 大型のトラック生産のほか、研究施設も併設しています。 所在地：藤沢市土棚８"},"reasoning":"Isuzu's mother plant at Fujisawa in Kanagawa, in Yokohama's hinterland, builds light, medium and heavy trucks (City of Fujisawa partnership document, 25 April 2025). The MLIT 2014 map of assembly plants and loading ports names Nissan and Subaru, not Isuzu, as Yokohama's main car shippers, and Yokohama Customs' September 2026 flash puts 60.1 percent of national truck exports by value through Yokohama. The port Isuzu ships through is not shown on either document; exposure to the closure is inferred from location and that share.","series_keys":["yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy"]}]},{"slug":"isuzu-australia","name":"Isuzu Australia Limited","country":"AU","sector":"NAICS 423110 Automobile and other motor vehicle merchant wholesalers","website":"https://www.isuzu.com.au/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"EXPOSED","decision_type":"SUPPLY_CHAIN","status":"DEDUCED","evidence":{"url":"https://www.content.isuzu.com.au/news-articles/isuzu-history-1995","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"When the Dandenong assembly line closed in December 1995, subsequent F Series models were fully-imported from Japan."},"reasoning":"Isuzu Australia imports its trucks fully built from Japan, and Australia takes 5.8% of Yokohama's exports by the Port and Harbor Bureau's 2025 figures. That its trucks load at Yokohama, and that the closure delayed its arrivals, is inferred, not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy"]}]},{"slug":"nagoya-port-authority","name":"Nagoya Port Authority","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 488310 Port and harbor operations","website":"https://www.port-of-nagoya.jp/english/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"COMPETITOR","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"DEDUCED","evidence":{"url":"https://www.port-of-nagoya.jp/english/aboutport/1001385.html","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"We are the No. 1 automobile exporting port in Japan, shipping approximately 1.46 million completed automobiles annually."},"reasoning":"Nagoya is the main alternative car and container gateway on the Pacific coast. Diversion of Yokohama cargo to Nagoya during a 45-hour closure is unlikely at this duration and is not shown; the entry records the competing capacity only.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-hs87-export-kjpy"]}]},{"slug":"tokyo-port-terminal-corporation","name":"Tokyo Port Terminal Corporation","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 488310 Port and harbor operations","website":"https://www.tptc.co.jp/en","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"COMPETITOR","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"DEDUCED","evidence":{"url":"https://www.tptc.co.jp/en","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"首都圏・東日本の生活と産業を支える東京港が、その重要な役割を今後も果たし続けられるよう、 新たな価値を創造し、国際競争力が高い港に進化し続けます。"},"reasoning":"The operator of Tokyo's container terminals serves the same Kanto hinterland and is Yokohama's nearest competitor. Tokyo sits in the same bay and likely suffered the same weather, so it was probably not an alternative during Dujuan; its status in those days is not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"busan-port-authority","name":"Busan Port Authority","country":"KR","sector":"NAICS 488310 Port and harbor operations","website":"https://www.busanpa.com/eng/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"COMPETITOR","decision_type":"OPERATIONAL_LOCAL","status":"DEDUCED","evidence":{"url":"https://www.busanpa.com/eng/Main.do","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"Logistics Hub in Northeast Asia Busan New Port Strengthens its status as a logistics hub in Northeast Asia"},"reasoning":"Busan competes with Yokohama for Japanese transshipment, which YKIP subsidises to win back. Kuehne+Nagel shows Busan itself congested in the same week (BNCT yard density 85%), so it was not a spare outlet; any diversion is not shown.","series_keys":["yokohama-portcalls","yokohama-export-container-tons"]}]},{"slug":"japan-p-and-i-club","name":"The Japan Ship Owners' Mutual Protection & Indemnity Association (Japan P&I Club)","country":"JP","sector":"NAICS 524126 Direct property and casualty insurance carriers","website":"https://www.piclub.or.jp/en/","exposures":[{"signal":"typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026","direction":"ADJACENT","decision_type":"FINANCIAL_REMOTE","status":"DEDUCED","evidence":{"url":"https://www.piclub.or.jp/en/about/organization-profile","date":"2026-10-23","quote":"The Japan P&I Club is the sole organisation in Japan underwriting P&I insurance for both ocean-going vessels and Japanese coastal vessels."},"reasoning":"A typhoon with 21.1 m/s gusts at Yokohama raises the risk of mooring, collision and cargo claims, which P&I clubs cover for shipowners. No claim from Dujuan at Yokohama is shown; the exposure is inferred from its business.","series_keys":["yokohama-gust-ms","yokohama-precip-mm"]}]}],"analysis":{"preview":true,"status":"DRAFT","question":"When Typhoon Dujuan closes the Port of Yokohama for 45 hours into the Silver Week holidays, does a Kanto vehicle exporter such as Nissan at its Honmoku wharf wait for the next Yokohama sailing or truck its lots to Tokyo or Nagoya, and who pays the week of delay: the exporter in detention and demurrage, the carrier in a missed call and ship time, or the importer in Australia, the United States or the United Arab Emirates?","constants":[{"id":"K1","name":"Duration of the Yokohama port closure for Typhoon Dujuan","value":45,"unit":"hours","kind":"CAPACITY","source_url":"https://mykn.kuehne-nagel.com/news/article/port-operational-updates-from-23-09-2026","source_date":"2026-09-23","quote":"The port was closed for 45 hours, resulting in yard density rising to around 90% and vessel waiting times reaching 1.5 to 2 days.","note":"Kuehne+Nagel weekly port update for 23-29 September 2026, the only source found for the closure; no notice from the Port and Harbor Bureau or YKIP was found."},{"id":"K2","name":"Yard density at Yokohama container terminals after reopening","value":90,"unit":"percent of yard capacity","kind":"CAPACITY","source_url":"https://mykn.kuehne-nagel.com/news/article/port-operational-updates-from-23-09-2026","source_date":"2026-09-23","quote":"The port was closed for 45 hours, resulting in yard density rising to around 90% and vessel waiting times reaching 1.5 to 2 days.","note":"Port-wide figure from the same forwarder update; the terminal-level density is not given."},{"id":"K3","name":"Vessel waiting time at Yokohama after reopening","value":1.5,"unit":"days","kind":"CAPACITY","source_url":"https://mykn.kuehne-nagel.com/news/article/port-operational-updates-from-23-09-2026","source_date":"2026-09-23","quote":"The port was closed for 45 hours, resulting in yard density rising to around 90% and vessel waiting times reaching 1.5 to 2 days.","note":"Conservative end of the 1.5 to 2 day range reported."},{"id":"K4","name":"Seven-day average vessel waiting time at Yokohama, week of 23-29 September 2026","value":1.2,"unit":"days","kind":"CAPACITY","source_url":"https://mykn.kuehne-nagel.com/news/article/port-operational-updates-from-23-09-2026","source_date":"2026-09-23","quote":"The 7-day average vessel waiting time is around 1.2 days. Yokohama is recovering from Typhoon Dujuan-related disruptions and consecutive public holidays."},{"id":"K5","name":"Gantry crane work-stop wind speed, Keihin port Kawasaki district","value":10,"unit":"m/s, ten-minute mean","kind":"PHYSICAL","source_url":"https://www.city.kawasaki.jp/templates/outline/cmsfiles/contents/0000098/98180/issoubousiR2.pdf","source_date":"2020-04-01","quote":"（ア）作業中止基準風速・・・・平均風速 10 m／s 風速が作業中止基準風速を超えるおそれがある、もしくは超えた、または暴風（雪）警報が発表された場合で、かつ、クレーン作業に危険が予想されるとき。","note":"Kawasaki City Port and Harbor Bureau, gantry crane runaway-prevention rules for the Kawasaki container terminal, April 2020. Kawasaki is the other district of the Keihin port operated by YKIP; Yokohama's own terminal rules were not found, so this is the nearest published rule."}],"constants_total":57,"constraints":[{"id":"C1","kind":"PHYSICAL"},{"id":"C2","kind":"PHYSICAL"},{"id":"C3","kind":"CAPACITY"},{"id":"C4","kind":"CAPACITY"},{"id":"C5","kind":"SUPPLY"},{"id":"C6","kind":"SUPPLY"},{"id":"C7","kind":"CALENDAR"},{"id":"C8","kind":"CALENDAR"},{"id":"C9","kind":"CONTRACT"},{"id":"C10","kind":"CALENDAR"}],"constraints_total":10,"chain":[{"id":"L1","type":"PHYSICAL","from":"Typhoon Dujuan rain and gusts at Yokohama, 20-21 September local days","to":"Port closure of 45 hours","status":"CONSISTENT","lag_days":{"min":0,"max":1},"statement":"Two local days of 117.0 and 223.0 mm and a 21.1 m/s peak gust closed the port for 45 hours; the gust alone crosses the crane work-stop threshold, and ships are evacuated from berths ahead of a typhoon."},{"id":"L2","type":"LOGISTICAL","from":"Port closure","to":"Collapse of port calls and container exports, 19-21 September UTC","status":"OBSERVED","lag_days":{"min":0,"max":1},"statement":"Port calls fell to 10, 3 and 9 on 19, 20 and 21 September UTC against a 108-day mean of 36.3, and container export tonnage to zero on 20 September; the 3-call day is the series minimum."},{"id":"L3","type":"LOGISTICAL","from":"Reopening","to":"Catch-up of calls and exports, 22-25 September UTC","status":"OBSERVED","lag_days":{"min":1,"max":4},"statement":"Calls rose to 37, 49 and 61 on 22, 23 and 24 September, the 61 the series maximum, and container exports reached 115,333 t on 22 September, the series maximum; the four days 22-25 September more than covered the tonnage shortfall of 19-21 September."},{"id":"L4","type":"LOGISTICAL","from":"Backlog at 90 percent yard density, over the holidays","to":"Vessel waiting of 1.5 to 2 days through the week of 23-29 September","status":"CONSISTENT","lag_days":{"min":1,"max":7},"statement":"Having lost 26.8 percent of a week's berth hours, the terminals could not serve the arriving ships at once; the forwarder update reports waits of 1.5 to 2 days, a 7-day average of 1.2 days, and names the holidays as a second cause."},{"id":"L5","type":"ECONOMIC","from":"Delay of about 3.4 days per box and per ship","to":"Detention and demurrage invoices to exporters, ship time absorbed by carriers","status":"UNTESTED","lag_days":{"min":0,"max":30},"statement":"With 5 days of detention and 7 days of demurrage free time, holidays excluded, a 3.4-day disruption leaves most export boxes inside free time; the cost of the shift falls on the carriers' schedules and ship time. The Atlas has no series of detention invoices or of per-vessel waiting, so who paid is not measured."},{"id":"L6","type":"ECONOMIC","from":"Shift of loadings inside the month","to":"September customs value for vehicles within the January-August band","status":"CONSISTENT","lag_days":{"min":30,"max":40},"statement":"A shift of a few days inside September cannot move a monthly customs total; the port-level provisional flash of 21 October prints automobile exports of 173.1 billion yen, up 9.1 percent on a year earlier, with units down 5.7 percent. The HS 87 series itself ends in August until the by-customs table is released."},{"id":"L7","type":"BEHAVIOURAL","from":"Closure and queue at Yokohama","to":"Exporter's choice: wait for the next Yokohama sailing or truck to Nagoya or Tokyo","status":"UNTESTED","lag_days":{"min":0,"max":7},"statement":"Nissan loads at its own Honmoku wharf and Isuzu builds at Fujisawa in the Yokohama hinterland; with Tokyo shut by the same rain and Nagoya a day away and another maker's gateway, the rational choice for a two-day closure is to wait. No series of truck movements or of Nagoya loadings of Kanto-built vehicles exists in the Atlas, so the choice is inferred, not seen."},{"id":"L8","type":"LOGISTICAL","from":"Missed or delayed car-carrier window at Daikoku","to":"Arrival delay for importers in Australia, the United States and the United Arab Emirates","status":"UNTESTED","lag_days":{"min":14,"max":35},"statement":"Vehicles are 36.9 percent of Yokohama's export tonnage and Australia is the country the September flash names for the rise in automobile exports; a car carrier that waited 1.5 to 2 days arrives that much later, one that left without its Yokohama lot pushes the lot to the next sailing. No destination-side series is in the Atlas."},{"id":"L9","type":"ECONOMIC","from":"Closure share of the month","to":"Yokohama-specific shortfall in September vehicle units","status":"CONTRADICTED","lag_days":{"min":30,"max":60},"statement":"Yokohama's September automobile units fell 5.7 percent on a year earlier against 0.5 percent nationally, a gap of 5.2 points. The same gap ran from minus 11.6 (May) to plus 12.7 (August) in 2026 months with no typhoon, the September fall sits in trucks (minus 14.0 percent) rather than passenger cars (minus 4.0), and September container export tonnage exceeded August's. A closure share of 6.25 percent of the month cannot be read from a series whose noise is four times that size; the link is kept as struck."}],"alternatives":[{"id":"A1","status":"OPEN"},{"id":"A2","status":"OPEN"},{"id":"A3","status":"OPEN"},{"id":"A4","status":"SUPPORTED"}],"alternatives_total":4,"conjectures":[{"locked":true,"id":"J1","statement":"The 45-hour closure was a shift of about four days, not a loss: on 22-25 September container export tonnage exceeded four days at the 108-day mean by about 1.7 times the shortfall of 19-21 September, so the tonnage that did not sail during the closure sailed within four days of reopening.","scope":"LOCAL","confidence":"MEDIUM","tier":"FREE"},{"locked":true,"id":"J2","statement":"If September scales like the eight earlier months of 2026, the September HS 87 export value at Yokohama customs lands between 208.0 and 221.2 billion yen: the port-level provisional automobile value of 173.1 billion times the ratio of HS 87 to flash automobile value, which ran from 1.202 in August to 1.278 in April. The closure's arithmetic share of the month, 6.25 percent or 12.5 billion off the January-August mean, is smaller than the spread of that mean (January 157.2, May 171.4 billion), so the value cannot resolve a loss of that size; a figure below 200 billion would point to the parts and motorcycle lines, not to the closure.","scope":"CROSS_SECTOR","confidence":"MEDIUM","tier":"PREMIUM"},{"locked":true,"id":"J3","statement":"Importers of Yokohama-loaded vehicles in Australia, the United States and the United Arab Emirates received their late-September lots at least 3.4 days late, the closure plus the queue, and a full sailing cycle late where the car carrier sailed without them; Australia is the country the September flash names for the rise in Yokohama's automobile exports, so its October arrivals carry the delay.","scope":"CROSS_GEOGRAPHY","confidence":"LOW","tier":"PREMIUM"},{"locked":true,"id":"J4","statement":"The shift was paid by the carriers, not the exporters: a 3.4-day disruption stays inside the 5-day detention and 7-day demurrage free time of a carrier's Japan export tariff, holidays excluded, so an exporter's worst case is the detention charge on a box whose free time was already spent when the port closed, 13,500 yen per 40-foot box, while the carrier bears 1.5 to 2 days of ship time per call.","scope":"CROSS_SECTOR","confidence":"MEDIUM","tier":"PREMIUM"},{"locked":true,"id":"J5","statement":"The customs unit series cannot resolve the closure: Yokohama's September unit gap to the national trend, minus 5.2 points, sits inside the 2026 dispersion of minus 11.6 to plus 12.7 points recorded without a typhoon, the fall is concentrated in trucks (minus 14.0 percent) against passenger cars (minus 4.0), and the August gap of plus 12.7 is a base effect. The closure's 6.25 percent share of the month is a quarter of that dispersion, so the October flash will land inside the same band whether the closure's lot shifted into October or sailed in September.","scope":"CROSS_SECTOR","confidence":"MEDIUM","tier":"PREMIUM"}],"trajectories":[{"locked":true,"id":"T1","name":"November 2026 at Yokohama: a repeat of the closure signature, or an undisturbed month","horizon":{"from":"2026-11-01","to":"2026-11-30"},"tier":"PREMIUM","branches":[{"id":"undisturbed-november","condition":{"indicator":"Number of UTC days in November 2026 with Yokohama port calls below 29, the November 2025 daily minimum (PortWatch)","series_key":"yokohama-portcalls","op":"<","value":1,"by":"2026-11-30"}},{"id":"disturbed-november","condition":{"indicator":"Number of UTC days in November 2026 with Yokohama port calls below 29, the November 2025 daily minimum (PortWatch)","series_key":"yokohama-portcalls","op":">=","value":1,"by":"2026-11-30"}}]}],"review":{"author":"atlas-analyst","reviewer":"atlas-counter-analyst","date":"2026-10-24","verdict":"REWORK","notes":"Author's points for the reviewer. The 45-hour closure, the 90 percent yard density and the waiting times rest on one forwarder update (K1 to K4); no port authority notice was found. The crane thresholds are the Kawasaki district rules of the Keihin port, not Yokohama's own (K5 to K7). The Port Facts leaflet cited in organisations.json carries 2020 statistics; the 2025 tonnage and TEU come from the city's December 2025 monthly tables (K18 to K20). Free-time terms are Hapag-Lloyd's 2024 Japan tariff; ONE and Maersk general tariffs were not retrieved (K13 to K17). Yokohama Customs released a port-level provisional September flash on 21 October (K26 to K29, K32): value up, units down, which the dossier treats as an early read, not as the series. PortWatch figures are AIS-modelled estimates in UTC days; JMA days are local (C7). Quotes K13 to K16 are assembled from the cells of the tariff tables in reading order, and K5, K7 and K17 join sentences that the PDFs break across lines. Counter-analysis (atlas-counter-analyst, 2026-10-24, docs/night-2026-10-24/typhoon-dujuan-yokohama-port-2026/COUNTER_ANALYSIS.md). All 33 constants verified at the source: values, units and dates right; K13 to K16 are cell assemblies, confirmed current by Hapag-Lloyd's January 2026 Japan export sheet (effective 1 April 2024 until further notice). REWORK on the trajectory: the September HS 87 value is already determined by K26, because the 2026 ratio of HS 87 to the flash automobile value ran 1.202 to 1.278 in every month January to August, which puts September at 208 to 221 billion yen, above the 187.8 billion condition; the loss branch is excluded before the horizon opens, and 187.8 billion sits inside the January to August band (January 157.2, May 171.4), so the branch is misnamed. The November point (30 to 42 calls a day) is consistent with the November 2025 PortWatch mean of 39.8 as a monthly mean, too narrow for daily values (29 to 52), and is identical in both branches. REWORK on C1 and C2: the 21.1 m/s figure is a gust, the crane work-stop (10 m/s), advisory (12 m/s) and warning (25 m/s) criteria are ten-minute means; the right comparator is the JMA maximum mean wind of 13.7 m/s on 21 September, which gives the same conclusions. The MLIT model rule (2012, revised 2016) that the Kawasaki rule derives from uses a 16 m/s gust as the reference fixing threshold and 30 m/s as the mandatory one, so lashing cannot be said to have been unforced at Yokohama. REWORK on C10 and A4: Japan records exports on the departure date of the carrying vessel (Osaka Customs yearbook, 統計計上の時期), not on the permit date; an intra-month shift stays invisible, a shift across 30 September would not. REWORK on J2, J5 and L9: the Yokohama-minus-national unit gap in the 2026 flashes ran from minus 11.6 to plus 12.7 points without a typhoon (March minus 5.4, April minus 7.6, May minus 11.6, June minus 10.9, August plus 12.7), so a September gap of minus 5.2 points is within noise and the match with 6.25 percent is a coincidence; the September flash puts the unit fall in trucks (minus 14.0 percent) with passenger cars at minus 4.0 percent, and the August gap of plus 12.7 confirms the base effect the author lists as a falsifier of J5. The INCONCLUSIVE supply checks of J2 and J5 can now cite the Nagoya September flash (automobiles 541.0 billion yen, plus 22.7 percent, a record, but already plus 29.7 percent in June) and the Tokyo September flash (no finished-automobile line). Second sources found for the chain: SEKO Logistics repeats the 45 hours, 90 percent and 1.5 to 2 days with dates 20 to 22 September (same upstream, one source); Logfret on 22 September saw no evidence of a blanket shutdown; a Japan Coast Guard notice placed the Yokohama and Kawasaki districts of Keihin port under first alert and anchoring restraint from 08:00 JST on 20 September with cargo-handling stop criteria to be observed (page since removed, search extract only); Kuehne+Nagel's 16 to 22 September update already had waiting around one day and reefer plugs at 95 to 100 percent, so the typhoon's increment on the weekly average is about 0.2 days. PortWatch, all ship types: Tokyo 2 and 5 calls, Kawasaki 0 and 3, Chiba 4 and 16, Nagoya 11 and 22 on 20 and 21 September UTC; Yokohama ro-ro calls 0, 0, 0 on 19 to 21 September then 8, 3, 10, with ro-ro export tonnage 0 then 7,074 t on 22 September, which supports L8 and J3 as a delay rather than omitted calls; container calls 17 on 22 September against a mean of 12.9, which weakens A2; September container export tonnage 1,127,052 t against 1,122,720 t in August, the A4 discriminator, which supports shift over loss. Organisations accepted; zero beneficiaries is plausible because every alternative gateway closed on the same days; the Port and Harbor Bureau quote lies beyond the part of the 24 MB leaflet I could download; importers in the United States and the United Arab Emirates named in the question have no entry. No source publishes the three series side by side. Rework round 1 applied on 2026-10-24T01:37Z: items T1 (rebuilt on the November PortWatch condition), C1, C2, C10, L9, A3, A4, J2, J5, constants K34 to K57, figure F27, organisations.json Isuzu evidence. Counter-analysis round 2 (atlas-counter-analyst, 2026-10-24, final reconciliation pass, COUNTER_ANALYSIS.md section Round 2). Constants K34 to K57 all verified at their sources: flash rows verbatim with release dates 21 May, 17 June, 16 September and 21 October 2026; K41 row verbatim; K42 and K43 verbatim in the MLIT model-rule overview PDF (the 18 March 2016 date is printed on its companion revision notice, the PDF whose number ends in 528); K44 verbatim, file dated 23 January 2023; the eight PortWatch statistics queries behind K45 to K55 re-run with identical responses; K56 and K57 verbatim, Nagoya releases of 21 October and 22 July 2026. F27 equals the April series value; J2 high end recomputed 221,136,614 thousand yen, J5 quantity 24.3 recomputed. C1, C2, C10, L9 (CONTRADICTED), A3, A4 (SUPPORTED), J2 and J5 accepted; both checks of J2 and J5 now PASS with substance. The Isuzu evidence from the City of Fujisawa document (25 April 2025) is verbatim; the reviewer's round-1 claim that the MLIT 2014 Yokohama port-plan deck (common PDF ending in 953) placed Isuzu Fujisawa and Fuso Kawasaki in Yokohama's hinterland was wrong, the full deck fetched in round 2 names Toyota, Nissan and Subaru and never Isuzu or Fuso; the analyst's deviation was correct. REWORK remains on one item, trajectory T1: the branch condition (one or more November days with fewer than 29 calls) does not isolate a closure signature. Days below 29 occurred in seven of the eight months on record without any closure (October 2025: 4, December 2025: 4, July 2026: 1, August 2026: 6 including the 11 August holiday at 23, September 2026: 3 besides the closure days, October 2026 to the 16th: 3); only November 2025 had none. Days below 15 occurred only on the three closure days (10, 3, 9) and on 31 December 2025 (7). As written, the disturbed branch and its implications (another 1.5 to 2 days of ship time per call, a second delayed lot of trucks, a second claim window) would be declared on an ordinary month, and the 3 and 23 November holidays named by A1 would trigger it; the two explanations are confounded by construction. The undisturbed branch's daily range 29 to 52 is also unlikely at its low end, since the 2026 monthly minima without a closure were 26, 23, 27 and 19. The monthly-mean and ro-ro path points are accepted. Suggested fix for the author: one UTC day below 15 calls, or two consecutive days below half the trailing 30-day mean, with the November holidays excluded or tested apart. Verdict stays REWORK, status stays DRAFT."},"locked":{"conjectures":5,"trajectories":1},"summary":{"verdict":"REWORK","reviewed_at":"2026-10-24","constants":57,"constraints":10,"links":9,"untested":3,"contradicted":1,"alternatives":4,"conjectures":5,"trajectories":1}},"offers":{"premium":{"name":"Premium newsletter — published pack library","price_cents":4900,"currency":"usd","billing":"month","subscribe_url":"https://shockatlas.com/premium#plan","includes":["Access to every published pack, old and new, while your official Premium right is valid; new packs join the same library","Three formats per pack: dossier bundle as JSON, organisations as CSV and redistributable series as CSV","Provenance, licences, hashes and review notes where available; restricted observations withheld and unfinished dossiers labelled honestly","A member key for available full data on the JSON API and MCP; no free newsletter subscription without separate consent"],"delivery":"Download the archive from your native account while the official right is valid. 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